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Entertainment89d 10h left

Will an OPM act headline a major international festival next year?

YES probability 52%

NO probability 48%

YES 52%NO 48%

Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…

Current market: YES 52 percent, NO 48 percent.

−1.0pts / 24h28 pts traded · 16 trades

Resolves YES if Official festival line-up announcement.

Source (opens in a new tab) Full rules

Price history

YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.

Price history, 16 points from Aug 28 to Sep 18. First YES 51%, latest YES 52%, low 48%, high 53%.

Rules and resolution

Question closes
12/17/2026, 6:26:58 AM (89d 10h left)
What this market asks
Resolves YES if a Filipino artist is billed as a headline act at a major international music festival.
Resolution criteria
Official festival line-up announcement.
Resolution source
https://www.billboard.com/ (opens in a new tab)
How a market is resolved
One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
What this market traded
28 points across 16 trades by 7 forecasters.

Comments (1)

Checking your session…

  • @rosa_a Sep 18, 07:08 AM

    Inflation prints have been drifting down for three months now.

Checking your session…

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